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China vs. USA: Who Will Win This Geopolitical Contest?

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Professor Kishore Mahbubani emphasizes that internal challenges, particularly the U.S.’s drift toward plutocracy, weaken its ability to compete with China’s meritocratic governance. He advocates pausing the U.S.-China rivalry to address pressing global challenges like climate change and public health.

Key Points:

Geopolitical Context:

  • U.S. Challenges:
    • Transition to plutocracy, evidenced by stagnant wages for the bottom 50% over 30 years, threatens democratic stability.
    • Overconfidence in inevitable triumph obscures significant internal vulnerabilities.
  • China’s Strengths:
    • China’s meritocratic system supports effective governance, as demonstrated during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Call for Collaboration:

  • Global challenges like climate change and pandemics demand cooperation rather than competition between the U.S. and China.
  • Many nations advocate a pause in rivalry, urging both powers to focus on shared responsibilities.

Recommendations for U.S. Reform:

  1. Economic Policies:
    • Address income inequality through minimum wage hikes and wealth redistribution.
  2. Political Reforms:
    • Tackle campaign finance to reduce plutocratic influences.
  3. Healthcare Improvements:
    • Build resilient systems to better handle crises like COVID-19.
  4. Education & Workforce Development:
    • Enhance societal performance with investments in education and modern skills.
  5. Bipartisan Cooperation:
    • Promote unity in addressing key domestic and international issues.
  6. Climate Leadership:
    • Lead global efforts on sustainability and environmental protection.

Lessons from Other Nations:

  • Germany, Canada, and New Zealand showcase how bipartisan consensus can yield sustainable reforms in labor, healthcare, and economic stability.
  • Failures in U.S. bipartisan efforts (e.g., immigration reform, gun control) highlight the need for empathy, robust dialogue, and shared trust to achieve consensus.

Strategic Takeaway:

For the U.S. to regain its global edge and navigate the U.S.-China contest effectively, it must address internal vulnerabilities and prioritize cooperation over rivalry to tackle shared global issues.

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